Election 2014: Democratic House Map Shrinks

While all eyes are on which party will control the US Senate come November 4th, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has had a tough time running competitively with many of their recruited candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives. Recently, the committee cut ad time in many races where they feel they no longer have much of a chance against the Republican in that district. Recently they have cancelled ad buys in eight TV markets encompassing 12 congressional districts to reassign them to six other districts. Four of those new six districts are vulnerable Democrat incumbents, a marked difference from the majority of open seats and Republicans that they had originally intended to target.

One of the more impressive of these cancellations is in upstate New York’s 21st district, where the DCCC had hoped to hold on to the seat of retiring Democrat Bill Owens in a district that is rated EVEN by Cook Political’s Partisan Voting Index. In that race, Republican nominee Elise Stefanik has taken a commanding lead and is expected to become the youngest woman ever elected to Congress.

In Virginia, the DCCC sent shockwaves through the political gossip mill in the State by cancelling $2.8 million in ads for democrat John Foust, who is facing Republican Delegate Barbara Comstock for retiring Republican Rep. Frank Wolf’s seat in Virginia’s suburban and highly competitive 10th district. This has been the most competitive race in Virginia this cycle and Foust likely would have needed every cent of the $2.8 million if he were to have a chance against the popular delegate on November 4th.

All on these cancellations are indicative of a field of Democratic candidates that is riddled with faux pas and lackluster polling performances (noted previously). As expected, the Democrats will come nowhere close to recapturing the House, but Republicans have a real chance to expand their majority. It is safe to say that come January, we will have some up-and-coming Republican superstars elected to the House of Representatives.



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